PERAMALAN INFLASI DI INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE MOVING AVERAGE (ARMA)
Abstract View: 1118, PDF Download: 1369DOI:
https://doi.org/10.32665/james.v4i2.231Keywords:
Inflasi, Peramalan, ARIMA, AIC, RMSE, Inflation, PredictionAbstract
References
Silfiani, M., & Suhartono. (2012). Aplikasi Metode Ensembel untuk Peramalan Inflasi di Indonesia. Jurnal Sains Dan Seni ITS, 171-176.
Badan Pusat Statistik. ARIMA (Auto regressive Integrated Moving Average). diambil dari daps.bps.go.id: https://daps.bps.go.id/fileartike l/77/arima,pdf pada tanggal, 25 Mei 2021.
Fahrudin, R., & Sumitra, I. D. Peramalan Inflasi Menggunakan Metode SARIMA dan Single Exponential Smoothing (Studi Kasus: Kota Bandung). Majalah Ilmiah UNIKOM, (2020) 111-120.
Santoso, Teguh, & Kharisma, Bayu. Peramalan Inflas Kota Bandung dengan Pendekatan Box-Jenkins. Buletin Studi Ekonomi Vol.25 No.2, (2020).
Maswar. Analisis Time Series Model ARMA untuk Memprediksi Jumlah Santri PP Salafiyah Syafi’iyah Sukorjo 2017-2021. Jurnal Lisan Al-Hal Volume 11, No.1, (2017).
Simanungkalit, Erika Feronika Br., Pengaruh Inflasi Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia. Journal of Management (SME’s) (2020) Vol.13, No.3.
Silfiani, M., & Suhartono, Aplikasi Metode Ensembel untuk Peramalan Inflasi di Indonesia. Jurnal Sains Dan Seni ITS, (2012) 171-176.
Bustami, H, I., & Gamal, M, D., Holt-Winters Forecasting Method That Takes in to Account the Effect of Eid. Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics, (2015) 257-262.
Nawangwulan, S., & Angesti, D. Analisis TIme Series Metode WInter Jumlah Penderita Gastroenteritis Rawat Inap Berdasarkan Data Rekam Medis Di RSUD Dr. Soetomo. Jurnal Manajemen Kesehatan STIKES yayasan RS Dr. Soetomo, (2016) 17-32.
Tusyakdiah, H. Penerapan Metode Autoregressive Integrated Moving. diambil dari https://halimatusyak,medium,com/penera pan-metode-auto-regressive-integratedmoving -average-arima-pada-peramalan-harga-bitcoin-77558605eaf5 pada tanggal, 25 Mei 2021
Mulyana. Buku Ajar Analisis Deret Waktu. Universitas Padjajaran FMIPA Jurusan Statistika, Bandung, (2004).
Aktivani, S. Uji Stasioneritas Data Inflasi Kota Padang Periode 2014-2019. Statistika, (2020), Vol.20, No.20.
Gujarati, D. N. Basic Econometrics. 4th Edition. The McGraw-Hill Companies. (2004).
Wei, W. W. S. Time Series: Univariate and Multivariate Methods. Redwood City, Calif: Addison-Wesley. (1990).
Widarjono, A. Ekonometrikas Teori dan Aplikasi Untuk Ekonomi dan Bisnis. Ekonisia Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Islam Indonesia. Yogyakarta. (2005).
As’ad, M., Wibowo, S, S., & Sophia, E. Peramalan Jumlah Mahasiswa Baru Dengan Model Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Jurnal Informatika Merdeka Pasuruan, (2017) Vol.2 No.3, 20-33,
Cort, W, J., & Kenji, M. Advantages of the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) Over the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) in Assessing Average Model Performance. Department of Geography University of Delaware, Newark, (2005).
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2021 Journal of Mathematics Education and Science
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) before and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work